Download Article PDF/SlidesAs of December 31, 2003, a total of 88,479 New Yorkers have been diagnosed, reported, and are known to be living with HIV or AIDS. Dr. Frieden explained that 57,316 (64.7%) have already received an AIDS diagnosis and that 31,163 (35.3%) are infected with HIV but have not met the immunologic or clinical case definition for AIDS. “Of central concern to us,” Dr. Frieden said, “is that we probably have another 20,000 New York City residents who are HIV-positive but aren’t aware of their status.”
Based on these data, New York City remains the epicenter of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the United States (Figure 1). New York City has the highest AIDS case rate in the United States; while it is home to less than 3% of the U.S. population, the city accounts for 17% of national AIDS deaths. “We have more cases than Los Angeles, San Francisco, Miami, and Washington, D.C., combined,” Dr. Frieden noted. “Our case rate is 60 times the national target for 2010, four times the U.S. average, and higher than any other city in the U.S.”
Figure 1.New York City remains the epicenter of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in the United States. New York City has the highest AIDS case rate in the United States; while it is home to less than 3% of the U.S. population, the city accounts for 17% of national AIDS deaths. As this figure illustrates, New York City has more cases than Los Angeles, San Francisco, Miami, and Washington, D.C., combined. New York City’s case rate is 60 times the national target for 2010 (blue line), four times the U.S. average.
Source: New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene
Dr. Frieden also noted a number of epidemiologic disparities. More than 80% of new AIDS diagnoses and deaths in New York City are among African Americans and Latinos. And as has been documented nationally, an increasing proportion of new AIDS cases are among women, most notably women of color. Rates of AIDS cases and HIV infections vary widely among New York City’s neighborhoods. As many as one in four men who have sex with men (MSM) residing in the Chelsea-Clinton section of Manhattan are infected with HIV. In Greenwich Village and Soho, as many as one in six MSM are infected. And in Central Harlem, approximately one in ten MSM are HIV-positive.
Black male residents of New York City, who are nearly three times more likely to be living with HIV/AIDS than other New Yorkers, have been especially hard hit by the epidemic. Dr. Frieden explained that one in 14 black men between the ages of 40 and 54 is living with HIV/AIDS—seven times the rate of other New Yorkers. The only groups with higher infection rates are men who self-identify as gay or bisexual (one in ten are estimated to be living with HIV/AIDS) and injection drug users (one in seven are believed to be living with HIV/AIDS).
Women bear an increasing burden of the epidemic in New York City. Approximately a third of new AIDS diagnoses and deaths from AIDS in the City are among women. This rate is up from 1 in 4 in 1992 and 1 in 10 in 1985. More than 90% of AIDS cases in women are among Black and Hispanic women. Comparatively speaking, HIV/AIDS incidence is five times higher among African-American women and three times higher among Latina women than among Caucasian women. “The majority of these women whose risk is reported became infected from heterosexual sex with an infected partner,” Dr. Frieden commented. “Heterosexual sex has surpassed intravenous drug use as the primary mode of transmission of HIV to women.”
The cumulative number of deaths in New Yorkers living with HIV or AIDS is 84,808. Until recently, greater than 90% of deaths were due to HIV-related causes. While AIDS deaths are down 75% since the peak in 1994, nearly 1,700 HIV-positive New Yorkers died of AIDS-related complications last year, and another 600 died of other causes (most notably substance abuse, cardiovascular disease, or malignant neoplasms). “HIV is still a leading cause of death among New Yorkers,” Dr. Frieden said, “and is the leading cause of death among New Yorkers between the ages of 35 and 44.” Almost 180,000 New Yorkers have been diagnosed and reported with HIV or AIDS since the start of the epidemic.
Figure 2.While much HIV/AIDS epidemiological data for New York City are concerning, encouraging data are available as well. For example, perinatal HIV transmission has decreased by more than 95% since the peak in 1990. What’s more, HIV seroprevalence among intravenous drug users entering care has also decreased by 75% from the early 1980s. As is shown in this bar graph, there has also been a significant decline in AIDS-related hospitalizations—a 68% decrease since 1995, according to the New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPRCS).
Source: Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System
As has been seen on the national level, NYC DOHMH epidemiologic data indicate that New Yorkers infected with HIV are living longer. "This translates into increased need for treatment, increased need for social services, and increased need for housing," Dr. Frieden pointed out. "The number of people living with AIDS in New York City has doubled in the past decade. This means double the need for all the services that are so important to helping them live longer and healthier lives."
Fortunately, there are encouraging data to draw upon as well. For example, perinatal HIV transmission has decreased by more than 95% since the peak in 1990. "Due to efforts to increase the proportion of women who know their HIV status, along with the proportion of HIV-infected women who receive prenatal care and antiretroviral therapy, we've seen a dramatic decrease in the number of infants being born with HIV infection in New York City." According to NYC DOHMH reports, only five perinatally infected babies were born in New York City last year.
HIV seroprevalence among intravenous drug users entering care has also decreased by 75% from the early 1980s. "Between the early 1980s to the early 1990s, HIV seroprevalence among idus was approximately 50%; today, seroprevalence is estimated at around 14%," Dr. Frieden explained. "That's still 14% too high, but it's a striking decrease in the proportion of people who use drugs intravenously who have HIV infection."
There has also been a drastic decline in AIDS-related hospitalizations (see Figure2). However, Dr. Frieden noted that "resources saved from this decline have not really been invested in expansion of effective outpatient care."
| HIV/AIDS in NYC: Can it be Stopped and Reversed? | Top of page |
While data have demonstrated that the HIV/AIDS epidemic in New York City has slowed, HIV is still endemic in the city: last year, 4,200 people were newly diagnosed with HIV. In turn, a central question remains: can this epidemic be stopped and reversed? Dr. Frieden explained that the most critical step in controlling an epidemic is stopping its transmission. The key is provided by a fundamental epidemiologic parameter called the basic reproductive number, or Ro, which measures the potential for the spread of an infectious disease. Formally, Ro is defined as the expected number of secondary infectious cases generated by an average infectious case in a susceptible population. Ro not only tells epidemiologists the potential for an epidemic to continue spreading in the absence of interventions, it also allows them to predict the ability of control measures to reduce transmission.
If Ro equals 1—that is, each infected person infects exactly one other person—the epidemic will remain steady over time. If Ro is greater than 1—each infected person infects more than one other person—the epidemic will worsen, with the number of cases increasing over time. However, if interventions can reduce Ro to less than 1—meaning that each HIV-infected person infects fewer than one other person—the epidemic will be reduced and eventually dissipate. “Stopping the HIV/AIDS epidemic will require breaking the chain of HIV transmission,” Dr. Frieden added. “Every new HIV infection starts with someone who is already infected.” The good news is that longevity and quality of life are increasing for New Yorkers with HIV/AIDS. But the growth of the prevalence pool poses new challenges in controlling transmission.
Why has the HIV epidemic been sustained in New York City and the rest of the United States? For starters, there are issues related to early diagnosis. “If everyone infected with HIV learned of their diagnosis soon after infection, we could get these individuals into treatment and get them to take steps to protect themselves and their partners,” Dr. Frieden said. “This alone would cause a sharp decline in the number of new HIV infections in New York.”
There are also problems linking HIV-positive patients to treatment and care. Dr. Frieden explained that approximately 20% of HIV-positive individuals are not in care within one year of receiving their diagnosis. “Plus,” he said, “a large number in care are not in consistent care. Although we don’t have firm data, it appears that, at most, half of those patients in consistent care have adequate viral load suppression.” As for ensuring that HIV-infected individuals aren’t spreading HIV to those who are HIV-negative, Dr. Frieden noted that there’s more work to be done in the area. “Because every new infection is transmitted by someone who is already HIV-positive, we need to redouble our efforts to: 1) raise awareness that HIV can infect anyone, 2) offer testing to every New Yorker, and 3) ensure that HIV-positive people take steps so that they don’t infect others.”
There is also the issue of ensuring that HIV-negative individuals aren’t exposing themselves to HIV through risky behaviors. “We really haven’t done a very good job in any of these areas,” Dr. Frieden said. “However, in each of these areas, there are improvements that we can make to break the chains of transmission.”
| The Need for Coordinated Care | Top of page |
For New York City to respond fully and effectively to the HIV/AIDS epidemic—ensuring the health of those infected and putting various prevention strategies into practice—coordinated care is going to be essential. “We provide a lot of housing for people living with HIV,” he explained. “We also provide a lot of medical care. We also provide a lot of social services. The problem is, these aren’t being coordinated. We need to do a much better job. We need to make sure that all other services are tied to either housing or medical care. That housing is tied to medical care and that medical care is accountable for suppressing viral load, reducing hospitalizations, increasing life expectancy, using a harm reduction approach to get people into drug and alcohol treatment, and providing prevention messages aimed at reducing risky behavior. The connection between housing and medical care is important. We can’t get people into treatment and provide necessary support services or counseling, if they’re not stably housed.”
The needs of New York City, in terms of effectively coping with the HIV/AIDS epidemic, are extensive. “We’re talking about the care of 100,000 HIV-positive individuals and the prevention needs of the 7.9 million not infected,” Dr. Frieden said. “New York City offers as extensive HIV/AIDS services as any other city in the world. We also have a vibrant advocacy community that will always push for more services, which we consider to be good.” While current funding levels are insufficient in terms of keeping up with care and prevention needs, Dr. Frieden argues that many of the services and programs currently available in New York City can be made more efficient.
No coordinated plan currently exists for HIV/AIDS prevention, treatment, and care in New York City. Services are provided by many agencies and organizations, including the NYC DOHMH, the Human Resources Administration, the New York State AIDS Institute, and community-based organizations. “There’s quite a bit of overlap between city, state, and private agencies, in terms of services offered,” Dr. Frieden said. “As a result, effective case management suffers. We’re seeing a lot of services being provided in a piecemeal fashion in a polarized political environment, which is problematic. What we need to do is bring the various parties together to make sure that services are being provided to all those who need them, and that these services are working effectively.”
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